Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.222706 1.383239 1.559089 1.766364 2.004447 2.269876 2.588933
2024-12-15 0.987500 1.206050 1.466427 1.801040 2.221845 2.736366 3.417500
2024-12-22 0.836866 1.074235 1.373009 1.779630 2.323132 3.030874 4.032597
2024-12-29 0.744726 0.995532 1.325752 1.797010 2.459826 3.370071 4.734187
2025-01-05 0.660435 0.913343 1.259169 1.772956 2.527746 3.612937 5.322265
2025-01-12 0.596725 0.850401 1.209125 1.761605 2.605716 3.870929 5.956877
2025-01-19 0.525723 0.768662 1.122222 1.683891 2.571734 3.951759 6.320252
2025-01-26 0.492966 0.739327 1.108274 1.712862 2.701853 4.296798 7.148823
2025-02-02 0.465469 0.714814 1.098343 1.745419 2.838740 4.664815 8.061112
2025-02-09 0.436919 0.685685 1.077831 1.757505 2.940957 4.983351 8.925203
2025-02-16 0.410865 0.658013 1.056684 1.765430 3.035158 5.295869 9.816782
2025-02-23 0.392293 0.640823 1.050845 1.798172 3.175191 5.704006 10.943683
2025-03-02 0.362764 0.603366 1.008553 1.764155 3.192979 5.893296 11.676574
2025-03-09 0.348767 0.591411 1.009164 1.807684 3.360732 6.389108 13.114980
2025-03-16 0.325925 0.561993 0.976280 1.785387 3.398200 6.630797 14.044734
2025-03-23 0.311073 0.545564 0.965182 1.802903 3.515432 7.046639 15.420119
2025-03-30 0.291807 0.519573 0.934309 1.778754 3.544695 7.280652 16.412635
2025-04-06 0.275891 0.498574 0.911048 1.767364 3.598876 7.573700 17.589106
2025-04-13 0.253121 0.463044 0.857401 1.689370 3.502360 7.521581 17.909855
2025-04-20 0.244832 0.454623 0.855605 1.718445 3.642582 8.022228 19.706953
2025-04-27 0.237469 0.447434 0.855596 1.751119 3.794100 8.567414 21.711618
2025-05-04 0.228384 0.436177 0.846512 1.763249 3.899614 9.015223 23.529330
2025-05-11 0.219484 0.424662 0.836005 1.771202 3.996006 9.452259 25.392301